And check it out: Richmond has hit 52.2% of its 2-point FGA this season (ranking 78th), while two of Iowas few weaknesses are giving up inside shots (allowing 50% on 2-point FGA, ranking 185th) and defensive rebounding (30.2% DR%, ranking 262nd).
End of 1: @GoJacksWBB 17 #14 Iowa State 15 @KELOSports State closes on a 9-3 run. Emily Ryan had 12 points, five assists and four steals for Iowa State (2-0). AMES, IOWA (KELO) The South Dakota State womens basketball team suffered their second straight setback with a 75-55 loss to #14 Iowa State.
Indeed, Ken Pomeroy, whose Luck metric compares teams wins and losses to their underlying points scored and allowed, says they are the most fortunate team in the NCAA. Finally, Slingshots cluster analysis finds that Iowa State is a kind of longshot that makes life hellish for upper seeds similar to LSU.
The game in our database is most similar to this matchup: Harvards 12-5 upset Cincinnati in 2014. Aubrey Jones was productive off the bench. 2Q, 5:38 | SDSU 24, ISU 22#GoJacks ( https://t.co/nnromIEhHb) pic.twitter.com/0kuiWZccm9. Aubrey Joens hit back-to-back 3-pointers. (); :
But they weren't much of a challenge for a Cyclones team with even higher expectations for this season.
Early in the third quarter, Iowa State used a 16-3 run to pull away from South Dakota State and put a 20-point cushion between the Cyclones and the Jackrabbits.
Jacksonville State is better than you think. Theyre built to crush inferior competition in the Patriot League, and they do that very well: Matt Langels squad has gone 54-12 in conference play and earned three NCAA bids over the past four years. And shouldnt going down to Stetson and Central Arkansas back-to-back in February count as some kind of Quad 5 losses? 1998 - 2022 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. Ho hum, another Cinderellas dreams quashed by a bad matchup, right? Providence has a record inflated by narrow victories almost as much as Wisconsins: the Friars are 11-2 in games decided by five or fewer points this year. that is degrading to another person. In a 2020-21 season that was full of highs for the Cyclones, one loss came against a SDSU team that finished 21-4 with an NCAA Tournament appearance. Then they won the A-10 tourney, beating three superior, distinctive and more publicized opponents along the way in VCU, Dayton and Davidson. Thats South Dakota States path to success: to take so many more outside shots (and try so much harder to force turnovers) that they transform, chameleon-like, into a fairly different team in the tournament. The run took just 41 seconds andended with Iowa State taking a 31-24 lead it would never relinquish. On the other hand, Auburn is a very safe overdog, with a top 10 defense and a powerful combination of offensive rebounding and ball protection, turning its just-decent shooting into the 24th-most efficient offense in the country. Halftime: #14 Iowa State 36 @GoJacksWBB 26 @KELOSports Cyclones close on a 13-2 run. The Cyclones made 9 of 10 free throws compared to SDSU's one attempt. (); :
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Iowa State shot 64% from the field in the third quarter alone. Subscribe to The Athletic for in-depth coverage of your favorite players, teams, leagues and clubs. Iowa State beat South Dakota State, 75-56, in a nonconference womens basketball game thanks to some stellar play from Lexi Donarski, Emily Ryan and Aubrey Joens. Share with Us. Defense is what takes you to the next level and thats what we needed tonight.. South Dakota State leads the country in 3-point shooting (44.2%) and effective field-goal percentage (59.7%). Copyright 2022 Nexstar Media Inc. All rights reserved. Be Proactive. She shot just 5 of 16 from the field, but was 6 of 7 from the free-throw line. A few reminders: We examine opponents separated by at least five seeds. The 16th-ranked Cyclones improved to 2-0 with an impressive 75-56win over South Dakota State at Hilton Coliseum Monday night. However, there are limits to how much our model can like a team. When this type of David goes up against a Goliath that relies heavily on forcing TOs, upsets abound. If they are willing to open things up even further, theyll take the kind of chances that can knock Wisconsin off its stride. When you can get eight or nine points in a row in a game like that, and then play smart we only turned the ball over nine times, youll have a chance (to win), especially in this building.. But what do analysts think of t. ); :
Her teammate Ashley Joens added 17 points and eight rebounds. And we cant tell you exactly how to bet that depends on how richly your pool rewards upsets and your tolerance for risk.
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Don't knowingly lie about anyone But if Wisconsins profile raises red flags, Colgates sets off klaxons.
Meanwhile, Kansas plays fast, shoots 55% from inside, dominates the offensive glass, and won the Big 12 Conference tournament.
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They attempt almost 43% of their shots from downtown and are the 11th-best team in the country at hitting threes (38%). Colgates saving grace as an underdog is its willingness to shoot threes. Emily Ryan proved again to be a really good defender. Heres the last region of our first-round analysis for Bracket Breakers 2022, as we take a game-by-game look at the potential for upsets in the NCAA Tournament. We will note, though, that in their two recent NCAA Tournament appearances, the Raiders took nearly half their shots from downtown and made 48% of those 3-point attempts. Rob Gray Iowa State Football Jun. And the single most similar game is the same for both: The 2017 version of these Jayhawks met the UC Davis Aggies, and administered a 100-62 smackdown. The Cyclones Lexi Donarski posted 11 points in the quarter.
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If the Cyclones can shut down Meyer during the coming game, the squad will likely be in a good place to take a victory. In a field woefully bereft of underdogs worth recommending without qualification, heres a stat to savor: Iowa State forces turnovers on 24.6% of opponent possessions, the sixth-highest rate of any team in the country and second-highest rate of any in this years NCAA tournament. Our defense was really good, Coach Bill Fennelly said. I thought that was Aubrey Joens best game at Iowa State, Fennelly said. Don't Threaten. Well, maybe. Iowa State would go back on the attack as they closed the half on a 14-2 run. The Gazette is Iowas independent, employee-owned source for local, state, and national news coverage. Iowa State led 36-26 at halftime as SDSU had scored just nine points in the quarter. Bryan Enterline, Maj Forsberg, Brian Hall.
But they play fast, give up more than 105 points per possessions after adjusting for opponent strength, dont shoot many threes (34.3% 3PA/FGA, ranking 257th), and dont take many others risks. That kid got nine rebounds? As it happens, LSU is also the one tournament squad that forces turnovers even more frequently than Iowa State, and the Cyclones are nearly as terrible at protecting the ball as LSU, as amply evidenced by their Big 12 Conference horror show against Texas Tech.
Vlastuin scored 14 for SDSU. Iowa State sophomore Aubrey Joens, in action last December, played her best game as a Cyclone Monday night in Ames, according to Coach Bill Fennelly. Officials from the Big 12 told Pac-12 officials on Monday that they're no longer interested in exploring a partnership, sources said. But favorites that dont maximize their second chances dont have a history of doing well in the NCAA Tournament. Notifications from this discussion will be disabled. And that aint easy. In the 10 tournament games since 2007 most similar to this matchup, the favorites went 8-2 and outscored underdogs by an average of 9.5 points per 100 possessions. The Cyclones also got 17points from Ashley Joens while Emily Ryan chipped in with 12. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Donarski led all scorers with 22 points on 8-of-15 shooting from the field and 3-of-7 from 3-point range. The Gamecocks are alive only because Bellarmine, the ASUN tournament champions, joined D1 just two years ago, and a stupid NCAA rule bans them from the big dance until at least 2024.
You have permission to edit this article. Well, winning a bunch of close games is a lot better for any team than losing them, but its mostly a matter of luck. Of the 10 tournament games most similar to Iowa-Richmond since 2007, the underdogs went 6-4 and slightly outscored favorites overall. And the results included some memorable upsets involving longshots who do look like Richmond statistically: Lehigh over Duke in 2012, Mercer over Duke in 2014, Winthrop over Notre Dame in 2007, Liberty over Mississippi State in 2019. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest.
This years team is currently 1-1 with the loss coming against Mississippi State. California governor Gavin Newsom said Wednesday he demands an explanation, on behalf of the public, for just how UCLA's move to the Big Ten will be beneficial for not just student-athletes but the history of the partnership with UC Berkeley. 4, 2022 3:10 pm. When you talk about womens basketball teams that have been historically successful, South Dakota State is on that list, and this team is no different than what they have had in the past.. Think of teams most like these Jackrabbits, including earlier versions of South Dakota State and North Dakota State squads, and you wont find many who succeeded at the national level. Vlastuin finished with a team high and career high 14 points on Monday. In the Cyclones' season-opening 65-38 win, the shooting performance did not meet expectations, but the players made up for it with a solid defensive performance. Iowa State held South Dakota State to just 34 percent shooting from the field and turned the Jackrabbits over 13 times. After scoring just six points in her debut, South Dakota State freshman Paige Meyer scored a game-high 25 points against Mississippi State on Friday. But she was ready to go tonight. We get it. AMES The second game of the Iowa State womens basketball teams season brought an early-season test for the Cyclones with South Dakota State. Our analysis adjusts teams basic strengths according to how closely they statistically resemble overdogs and longshots from past tournaments and, where appropriate, by style matchups. (); :
During the regular season, Slingshot saw Richmond essentially as dangerous as any killer in the Atlantic 10. Points off turnover were more than double in favor of the Cyclones, 17-8. 14 Iowa State beat South Dakota State 75-56 on Monday night. Our statistical model doesnt account for Will Wades abrupt departure from LSU, but thats another agent of chaos at work here. Against teams outside the top 100, theyve gone 12-0, with an average victory margin of 16.8 points. AMES Iowa States standout sophomores carried the Cyclones to victory on Monday in Hilton Coliseum. Many fans, analysts, and members of the NCAA Tournament selection committee still believe that kind of record is a character reference, seeing it as a reflection of grit, determination, and ability to close. We cant blame them when you can shoot the lights out, and youre playing St. Thomas (come on, keep up, in their first D1 season, out of St. Paul, Minn.), you can collect only one offensive rebound and still win by 19.
Get an email notification whenever someone contributes to the discussion. By leveling the playing field, that kind of bedlam helps underdogs. This is going to be a slippery-pig game, where it will be a minor miracle any time either team controls a possession long enough to take a shot. She guarded, she made shots and are you kidding me? Wisconsin went 12-2 in games decided by five or fewer points in the regular season.
He's the 2018and 2020 Iowa Sportswriter of the Year. (Associated Press). Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, Speaking of the Joens DNA, her older sister Ashley Joens wasnt as efficient as she usually is, but still scored 17 points and grabbed eight rebounds. The Cyclones won their season opener 65-38. The Jackrabbits came out swinging in the fourth quarter as they closed the gap down to ten points. She had nine points on 3-of-7 shooting from 3-point range. Joens scored the first five points of Iowa State's 18-6 run to take a 20-point lead early in the third quarter. 13, 2022 11:30 am, Iowa State Basketball Jul. accounts, the history behind an article. Lexi Donarski scored 22 points, Aubrey Joens added 17 and No. Offense a lot of times starts on the defensive end, so being able to get consecutive stops is important and then being able to capitalize on offense is what gave us some runs tonight, Ryan said. If Richmond can find ways to hit from close range, it could brew an upset that resembles these games, even if it wouldnt be typical enough for Slingshot to predict.
Tommy Birch, the Register's sports enterprise and features reporter, has been working at the newspaper since 2008. It hasnt been going well for her, to be honest with you. It rates 153rd in our basic power rankings. Blowouts are a much better measure of quality, precisely because random bounces and calls cant decide them! There was a problem saving your notification. But most particularly LSU, which commits turnovers on more than 20 percent of its own possessions, ranking 304th in the nation. Iowa State was able to go on those runs thanks in large part to its defense and getting out in transition. Home / Sports / Iowa State Cyclones / Iowa State Basketball, 14th-ranked Cyclones now 2-0 after 75-56 win in Ames, Nov. 16, 2021 9:42 am, Updated: Nov. 16, 2021 10:09 am. ); The use of software that blocks ads hinders our ability to serve you the content you came here to enjoy. Also, Jacksonville State, Alabama, managed to lose a key grudge match when the Jacksonville (Fla.) Dolphins nosed them out of the Atlantic Sun tournament. However, successful longshots typically need to take more risks than that to generate turnovers (where Colgate ranks 299th in the nation) and offensive boards (231st). Holding Omaha to less than 40 points required a strong showing from both the backcourt and the post players. Follow him on Twitter @TommyBirch. Theyre also no great shakes as a giant they play slow and dont dominate the boards at either end. Peter and Jordan previously wrote the Giant Killers series for ESPN, where they identified several major tournament upsets, includingVCU in 2011,Harvard in 2014,andSyracuse in 2016.The model successfully identified eight major upsets (defined as games with a five-seed difference between the teams) in the first two rounds of the 2021 NCAA Tournament.. Factoring in all the Badgers statistical traits, our model sees Wisconsin as the second-most vulnerable giant in the field (behind Colorado State). racist or sexually-oriented language. Really, the first true test of a very difficult non-conference schedule, Fennelly said. Thanks to Liz Bouzarth, John Harris and Kevin Hutson of Furman University for research assistance. They have 30 wins. No racism, sexism or any sort of -ism The Spiders compel opponents to play at a very slow pace, and while they are just average at hitting threes, theyre game to try. The Jackrabbits returned five starters from last seasons Summit League championship team and are expected to have another strong season. More AP womens college basketball: https://apnews.com/hub/womens-college-basketball and https://twitter.com/APTop25, 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. Madysen Vlastuin for the lead! I do think that we have kids that do believe that they can defend, not just individually but collectively, Fennelly said. You will begin to receive our Daily Sports updates.